2026-02-07.14.08.05
Things that are opposites:
- Marriage -> Divorce
- Life -> Death
- Birthday -> Funeral
- First Date -> Break Up
- First Day of New Job -> Getting Fired
Real Pattern -> Where is there attention asymmetry:
Got it. You’re not listing opposites for fun — you’re **looking for attention asymmetry**. Big, glossy, well-funded markets on one side; fragmented, under-served, or stigmatized markets on the other. That’s a legit opportunity lens.
Here’s a clean breakdown, market-first, no fluff.
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## Pattern You’re Pointing At
- **High-status, aspirational events** get massive spend, media, tooling, and startups
- **Inevitable or common reversals** get ignored, stigmatized, or handled inefficiently
- Result: **mispriced pain + low competition**
Divorce is a textbook example.
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## Other Markets With the Same Asymmetry
### 1. Wedding Industry → Divorce Industry
**Attention:** ~90% wedding, ~10% divorce
**Reality:** ~40–50% end in divorce
**Gap:** Emotional logistics, financial unwind, co-parenting systems, digital separation tools
**Why it’s ignored:** Shame + legal dominance + “romance bias”
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### 2. Birth / Pregnancy → Miscarriage, Infertility, Stillbirth
**Attention:** Massive (apps, products, influencers)
**Reality:** ~1 in 5 pregnancies end in miscarriage
**Gap:** Emotional care, rituals, workplace support, medical follow-through
**Why ignored:** Discomfort, silence, no Hallmark card aisle
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### 3. Career Onboarding → Job Loss / Layoffs
**Attention:** HR tech obsessed with hiring & culture
**Reality:** Layoffs are cyclical and common
**Gap:** Offboarding dignity, retraining, mental health, identity loss
**Why ignored:** Companies don’t want to think about failure
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### 4. Home Buying → Foreclosure / Forced Sale
**Attention:** Huge (mortgages, Zillow, agents, decor)
**Reality:** Many homeowners sell under stress
**Gap:** Distress-first real estate tools, emotional + financial navigation
**Why ignored:** Bad optics, hits “American Dream” myth
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### 5. College Enrollment → Dropout / Non-Completion
**Attention:** Massive (rankings, tours, loans)
**Reality:** ~40% don’t graduate in 6 years
**Gap:** Exit pathways, re-entry options, debt-without-degree solutions
**Why ignored:** Schools paid upfront; incentives misaligned
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### 6. Startup Launch → Startup Failure
**Attention:** Incubators, VC, launch press
**Reality:** ~90% fail
**Gap:** Founder shutdown playbooks, mental health, asset wind-down
**Why ignored:** VC incentives favor hype, not cleanup
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### 7. Retirement Planning → End-of-Life Decline
**Attention:** Massive (401k, FIRE content)
**Reality:** Many face cognitive/physical decline before death
**Gap:** Admin automation, caregiver coordination, dignity preservation
**Why ignored:** Death avoidance, regulatory mess
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### 8. Personal Finance Growth → Financial Collapse
**Attention:** Hustle, investing, crypto, wealth porn
**Reality:** Bankruptcies, debt spirals are common
**Gap:** Stigma-free recovery platforms, debt triage, financial therapy
**Why ignored:** Shame = low virality
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## Why These Are Real Opportunities (Not Just “Sad Topics”)
- **Demand is forced** — people don’t opt in emotionally, but they _must_ act
- **Competition is weak** — incumbents are often legalistic, outdated, or predatory
- **Customers are time-constrained & stressed** — they pay for clarity and relief
- **Attention arbitrage** — founders chase sexy beginnings, not messy endings
Divorce works especially well because:
- Predictable volume
- High lifetime impact
- Complex logistics
- Emotion + money + kids = huge pain stack
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## Blunt Take
If you’re willing to build where people feel ashamed, confused, or abandoned by systems, you’ll face:
- Less competition
- More gratitude
- Stickier customers
- Real moats
Most founders run toward hope. The money is often in **cleaning up after reality**.
If you want, next we can:
- Rank these by **TAM × neglect**
- Deep-dive divorce specifically (what’s broken, who pays, where tech helps)
- Identify which ones are best for VC vs. cash-flow businesses